Morgan Stanely economist Wang Qing and JP Morgan chief economist Frank Gong both expected China exports in October could be slipped by as much as 20 percent despite a resilient export growth in September.
The warning came before China releases its macro date for October in the upcoming week. They said industrial output has slowed faster than exports, indicating that China economy was shrinking faster than expected.
Good news is inflation rate in China is easing continuously, according to Mr Wang. He noted that producer inflation (PPI) and consumer inflation (CPI) were expected to stay around 7.9 percent and 4.3 percent, respectively. It provide a favorable factor for the China government to adjust its monetary policy.
Aliuser learnt that Alibaba ( HKSE 1688) has earmarked US 30 million on global promotion in an effort to help SMEs to expand its oversea market following a task force was formed in October.
Related Stories:
- Task force expected to work fast
- Reserve rate cuts to help SMEs
- China’s August CPI gives room to move

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November 10, 2008 at 4:05 pm
Beijing’s new prescription to impetus demand « Alibaba Weblog — International Trade, Global Trade
[...] Analysts tipping a downturn for China exports in October [...]
November 15, 2008 at 2:53 pm
October PPI and CPI continue to soften « Alibaba Weblog — International Trade, Global Trade
[...] Analysts tipping a downturn for China exports in October [...]
December 8, 2008 at 2:50 am
Funding for SMEs clicks in « Alibaba Weblog — International Trade for Suppliers and Buyers
[...] Analysts tipping a downturn for China exports in October [...]